Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 61.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Scheifele
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.3% (628)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
68.3% (41)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
30.6% (49)
+13.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
52.7% (630)
51.5% (394)
Away
43.5% (623)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
50.3%
51.5%
P2
46.8%
47.0%
P3
47.5%
54.3%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |