Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs McLeod 49.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 76.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
19
(49 meetings)
30
19
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
7
Scheifele
McLeod
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
9
Scheifele
McLeod
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
10
3
Scheifele
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
50.4% (3,376)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
50.7% (296)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
44.1% (644)
-2.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
48.9% (7,678)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
48.2%
50.8%
P2
45.6%
48.0%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
42.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |