Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 74.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 9: Scheifele 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Scheifele
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
49.0% (827)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
44.0% (91)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.0% (272)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
46.6% (605)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.4% (555)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
52.3%
52.7%
P2
45.3%
43.9%
P3
43.9%
45.8%
OT
27.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |