Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 47.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.3%
Neutral zone
Necas 52.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Necas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Necas
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Necas
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (57)
55.4% (771)
-11.5%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
57.1% (7)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
45.5% (165)
+21.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Necas is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Necas shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Necas
Dowd
Home
44.9% (49)
58.2% (462)
Away
44.4% (36)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Necas
Dowd
P1
40.5%
55.6%
P2
45.5%
50.5%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
44.7%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |