Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Necas 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Necas
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
55.2% (625)
-10.7%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
57.1% (7)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
38.2% (220)
+9.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Necas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Necas shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Necas
Dowd
Home
44.8% (203)
53.7% (445)
Away
45.3% (214)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Necas
Dowd
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
40.0%
49.3%
P3
50.0%
54.0%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%