Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 56.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
McTavish
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McTavish
Couturier
Last 7: McTavish 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
McTavish
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
53.8% (1,003)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
56.4% (202)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
42.7% (89)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McTavish shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
McTavish
Couturier
Home
52.0% (454)
54.4% (680)
Away
51.4% (391)
52.4% (614)
By Period
McTavish
Couturier
P1
51.3%
56.3%
P2
50.4%
51.8%
P3
53.3%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |