Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Couturier 55.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 69.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
McTavish
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McTavish
Couturier
Last 6: McTavish 4-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
55.1% (1,008)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
64.1% (142)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
53.3% (45)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
McTavish
Couturier
Home
52.3% (461)
58.1% (609)
Away
49.2% (500)
53.9% (586)
By Period
McTavish
Couturier
P1
51.5%
55.3%
P2
54.0%
55.8%
P3
47.1%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |