Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Couturier 53.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 78.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 63.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McTavish
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Couturier
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McTavish
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
53.9% (792)
-6.3%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
62.9% (70)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.3% (234)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
McTavish
Couturier
Home
52.2% (391)
51.4% (541)
Away
45.2% (336)
56.4% (555)
By Period
McTavish
Couturier
P1
50.2%
56.0%
P2
47.7%
52.6%
P3
49.2%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |