Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Aho 51.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 59.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 89.3%
10.7%
89.3%
McTavish
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McTavish
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
48.5% (778)
-6.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
63.4% (191)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.8% (65)
-0.8%
On power play, Aho has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
McTavish
Aho
Home
41.9% (372)
51.3% (530)
Away
42.8% (353)
51.4% (504)
By Period
McTavish
Aho
P1
47.2%
50.0%
P2
36.2%
51.3%
P3
43.6%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
42.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |