Mason McTavish vs Sebastian Aho

Mason McTavishL vs Sebastian AhoL
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McTavish 48.7% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor Aho leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone McTavish 68.3%
Defensive zone McTavish 78.5%
Neutral zone McTavish 78.2%
Result Mason McTavish favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
McTavish Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 11 (14 meetings)
3
11
McTavish Aho
Last 10: McTavish 2-8 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
McTavish Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
McTavish Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
McTavish Aho
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McTavish
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
50.2% (6,646)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
46.5% (465)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
McTavish shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
McTavish
Aho
Home
49.8% (1,680)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
McTavish
Aho
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
52.1%
P3
48.4%
50.8%
OT
43.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 2 12:04 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Oct 16, 2025 3 10:42 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 16, 2025 3 02:10 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 2 04:06 Neutral Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 1 16:04 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Mar 23, 2025 2 18:17 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 11, 2024 1 13:43 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 3 06:32 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 2 16:44 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 1 10:03 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 1 05:48 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 1 05:23 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 3 06:23 Offensive Mason McTavish
Nov 18, 2021 3 07:00 Defensive Sebastian Aho
McTavish's Profile | Aho's Profile