Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
McTavish
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
55.3% (628)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
55.1% (216)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
40.2% (87)
+9.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
41.9% (372)
55.5% (499)
Away
42.8% (353)
51.9% (432)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
50.7%
P2
36.2%
53.8%
P3
43.6%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
42.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
53.8%