Mason McTavish vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 69.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 72.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 74.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
McTavish
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McTavish
Stamkos
Last 10: McTavish 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
McTavish
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
McTavish
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,790)
50.5% (9,825)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (436)
55.2% (1,729)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
49.6% (827)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (1,680)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.4% (1,581)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
47.7%
52.7%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |