Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 53.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McTavish
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
57.1% (368)
-9.5%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
55.2% (96)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (10)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
McTavish
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (391)
53.9% (230)
Away
45.2% (336)
59.0% (244)
By Period
McTavish
Stamkos
P1
50.2%
56.7%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
49.2%
59.2%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%