Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Wilson 45.0% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Wilson 53.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Barzal
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
28.0% (25)
+15.0%
On even strength, Barzal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Barzal shoots right. Wilson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wilson
Home
35.8% (53)
26.9% (26)
Away
49.2% (61)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Barzal
Wilson
P1
44.2%
44.4%
P2
38.5%
31.8%
P3
46.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
43.0%
Wilson
38.0%▬
39.0%
36.7%