Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Frost 46.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Duchene
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
45.6% (833)
+8.3%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
46.0% (100)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.6% (18)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Duchene
Frost
Home
54.9% (113)
47.0% (440)
Away
51.4% (146)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Duchene
Frost
P1
54.9%
42.5%
P2
52.7%
47.9%
P3
51.9%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |