Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+20.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 69.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Duchene
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
36.7% (30)
+10.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
28.6% (7)
+44.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Duchene
Buchnevich
Home
58.4% (125)
31.3% (16)
Away
48.4% (95)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Duchene
Buchnevich
P1
56.9%
35.7%
P2
52.5%
33.3%
P3
51.9%
30.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
33.3%