Who wins more faceoffs, Matt Duchene or Pavel Buchnevich?

Matt Duchene leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Matt Duchene's faceoff record against Pavel Buchnevich?

Matt Duchene is 5-3 against Pavel Buchnevich in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-1, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Matt Duchene or Pavel Buchnevich?

Matt Duchene is the predicted winner with a 86.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Matt Duchene vs Pavel Buchnevich

Matt DucheneL vs Pavel BuchnevichL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Duchene 54.1% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+19.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Duchene 85.8%

Defensive zone Duchene 88.1%

Neutral zone Duchene 86.8%

Result Matt Duchene favored at 86.7%

86.7%

13.3%

Duchene Buchnevich

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 3 (8 meetings)

Duchene Buchnevich

Last 8: Duchene 5-3 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Duchene

Duchene Buchnevich

3 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Duchene Buchnevich

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Duchene

Duchene Buchnevich

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Duchene

Buchnevich

Edge

Even Strength

53.9% (10,438)

34.5% (931)

+19.4%

Power Play

57.0% (1,677)

44.2% (52)

+12.8%

Penalty Kill

49.1% (468)

24.3% (37)

+24.8%

On penalty kill, Duchene has a +24.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Buchnevich shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).

Duchene shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).

Home / Away

Duchene

Buchnevich

Home

55.6% (6,430)

35.6% (517)

Away

52.7% (6,177)

33.6% (503)

By Period

Duchene

Buchnevich

54.4%

35.2%

54.5%

34.8%

53.4%

33.4%

56.3%

50.0%

Final 5 min

53.7%

38.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Duchene

56.0%▲

51.0%

54.2%

Buchnevich

48.0%▲

41.0%

34.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 27, 2026	3	12:46	Offensive	Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 27, 2026	3	12:19	Offensive	Matt Duchene
Jan 27, 2026	3	06:22	Neutral	Matt Duchene
Jan 27, 2026	2	14:55	Neutral	Matt Duchene
Jan 23, 2026	3	07:17	Defensive	Matt Duchene
Apr 17, 2024	3	10:14	Neutral	Pavel Buchnevich
Apr 17, 2024	3	07:06	Defensive	Pavel Buchnevich
Apr 17, 2024	1	00:55	Offensive	Matt Duchene

Duchene's Profile | Buchnevich's Profile