Matt Duchene vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
43.0% (349)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
31.8% (88)
+68.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.4% (125)
38.5% (231)
Away
48.4% (95)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Duchene
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.9%
40.2%
P2
52.5%
36.0%
P3
51.9%
45.1%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
40.7%