Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Nylander 50.9% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.6%
Defensive zone
Nylander 70.6%
Neutral zone
Nylander 52.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Duchene
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
49.2% (59)
-2.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
66.7% (3)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
100.0% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
58.4% (125)
48.7% (39)
Away
48.4% (95)
57.7% (26)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
56.9%
47.8%
P2
52.5%
52.0%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.3%