Matt Duchene vs William Nylander
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Nylander 49.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 90.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 82.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Duchene
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Duchene
Nylander
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Nylander
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Nylander
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Nylander
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
50.2% (1,874)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
46.7% (229)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
54.8% (31)
-5.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
55.6% (6,430)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
54.4%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
45.6%
P3
53.4%
53.1%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |