Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.8% vs Nylander 44.2% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 64.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.7%
Neutral zone
Nylander 62.5%
Result
William Nylander favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Duchene
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Duchene
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (366)
39.4% (66)
+11.7%
Power Play
61.5% (65)
0.0% (6)
+61.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
51.7% (201)
42.1% (38)
Away
52.5% (236)
29.4% (34)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
49.0%
33.3%
P2
57.1%
32.3%
P3
49.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
18.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |