Michael McCarron vs Mika Zibanejad
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 64.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
McCarron
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCarron
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
52.9% (870)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.5% (43)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
46.2% (143)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
McCarron
Zibanejad
Home
54.6% (445)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.2% (478)
49.2% (555)
By Period
McCarron
Zibanejad
P1
53.6%
57.5%
P2
55.6%
50.7%
P3
53.7%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |