Michael McCarron vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.0%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 75.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
McCarron
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCarron
Zibanejad
Last 5: McCarron 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McCarron
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
53.3% (807)
-0.5%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
47.6% (42)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
46.3% (147)
+6.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
McCarron
Zibanejad
Home
52.8% (477)
49.8% (466)
Away
51.8% (442)
54.0% (530)
By Period
McCarron
Zibanejad
P1
56.2%
52.9%
P2
52.4%
51.2%
P3
48.7%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |