Michael McCarron vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 73.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 81.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
McCarron
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
McCarron
Zibanejad
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
McCarron
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McCarron
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
50.9% (11,756)
+2.4%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
52.2% (1,852)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
41.6% (1,796)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
McCarron
Zibanejad
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
McCarron
Zibanejad
P1
53.8%
50.4%
P2
52.3%
49.7%
P3
51.9%
49.9%
OT
33.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |