Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Zibanejad 49.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 58.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lazar
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lazar
Zibanejad
Last 5: Lazar 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Lazar
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
48.9% (809)
+4.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.4% (204)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
45.5% (191)
-3.8%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zibanejad
Home
53.1% (211)
49.8% (588)
Away
48.7% (150)
48.5% (616)
By Period
Lazar
Zibanejad
P1
45.3%
47.4%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
54.7%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |