Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 80.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
2
Zibanejad
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
5
Zibanejad
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
49.2% (901)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
68.2% (22)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
49.8% (219)
-7.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (681)
51.7% (603)
Away
49.9% (717)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
49.9%
50.9%
P2
47.6%
49.5%
P3
51.1%
49.1%
OT
48.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |