Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
55.3% (515)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
55.6% (9)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
44.8% (58)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
55.1% (501)
57.3% (293)
Away
49.2% (555)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
57.5%
53.8%
P2
50.7%
51.5%
P3
47.9%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |