Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 74.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
52.6% (464)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
100.0% (1)
-52.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
46.5% (155)
-0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (466)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.0% (530)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
52.9%
55.9%
P2
51.2%
46.7%
P3
51.7%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |