Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 5: Zibanejad 0-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
57.1% (871)
-6.2%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
53.1% (262)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
44.6% (139)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
51.1% (536)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.6% (576)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
50.1%
53.9%
P2
47.3%
55.3%
P3
50.7%
54.4%
OT
45.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |