Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 37-34 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 66.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
37
(71 meetings)
34
37
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
16
Zibanejad
Monahan
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
16
11
Zibanejad
Monahan
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
10
Zibanejad
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
51.1% (11,407)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
53.6% (2,582)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
45.9% (772)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
51.6% (7,603)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
50.4%
51.0%
P2
49.7%
51.7%
P3
49.9%
51.0%
OT
48.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |