Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.7%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
53.0% (874)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
54.7% (161)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
47.5% (101)
-1.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
49.8% (466)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.0% (530)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
52.9%
49.5%
P2
51.2%
54.8%
P3
51.7%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |