Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Zegras 41.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 86.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 51.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 67.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Zibanejad
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Zegras
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Zibanejad
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
39.4% (510)
+14.6%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
47.1% (34)
+8.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zegras
Home
55.2% (656)
42.3% (272)
Away
49.6% (682)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zegras
P1
56.3%
37.6%
P2
50.0%
41.5%
P3
51.2%
40.8%
OT
52.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |