Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Zegras 37.0% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 72.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 79.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 63.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Zibanejad
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
33.0% (264)
+20.3%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
32.1% (56)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
50.0% (2)
-3.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zegras
Home
49.8% (466)
35.3% (173)
Away
54.0% (530)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zegras
P1
52.9%
33.0%
P2
51.2%
35.7%
P3
51.7%
29.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |