Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Zegras 42.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 66.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Zibanejad
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Zibanejad
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
41.1% (559)
+9.0%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
50.0% (12)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
50.0% (2)
-8.1%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zegras
Home
49.0% (681)
45.7% (247)
Away
49.9% (717)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zegras
P1
49.9%
45.5%
P2
47.6%
36.8%
P3
51.1%
41.1%
OT
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |