Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Backlund
Karlsson
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
Backlund
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
56.3% (739)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
58.6% (181)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
47.2% (53)
-4.9%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
51.2% (782)
56.5% (462)
Away
49.4% (765)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
51.5%
57.1%
P2
49.8%
55.2%
P3
49.9%
56.7%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |