Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backlund 48.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone Karlsson 87.7%
Defensive zone Backlund 61.4%
Neutral zone Karlsson 63.4%
Result William Karlsson favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Backlund Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 9 (20 meetings)
11
9
Backlund Karlsson
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Backlund Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
2
Backlund Karlsson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund Karlsson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
58.6% (597)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
57.9% (57)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
51.9% (52)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +11.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
48.7% (749)
59.6% (344)
Away
48.1% (703)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
50.4%
53.1%
P2
50.1%
62.1%
P3
45.8%
60.1%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
61.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%
44.0%
48.4%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
58.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2025 3 18:31 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Apr 5, 2025 3 05:00 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Apr 5, 2025 3 04:54 Offensive William Karlsson
Apr 5, 2025 2 18:20 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Apr 5, 2025 2 13:20 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Apr 5, 2025 1 10:00 Offensive William Karlsson
Dec 29, 2024 3 05:05 Defensive William Karlsson
Dec 29, 2024 2 09:00 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 29, 2024 1 10:01 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Dec 29, 2024 1 06:16 Defensive Mikael Backlund