Mikael Backlund vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Backlund
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Backlund
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Backlund
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
58.5% (135)
-8.0%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
80.0% (5)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.4% (18)
+2.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Backlund
Karlsson
Home
48.1% (636)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.4% (671)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Backlund
Karlsson
P1
45.4%
54.4%
P2
54.1%
66.7%
P3
49.2%
51.9%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |