Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 65.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Granlund
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
44.3% (271)
+2.4%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
77.8% (18)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
31.7% (41)
+17.3%
On power play, Cates has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
51.1% (495)
52.0% (148)
Away
42.9% (557)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
49.9%
42.7%
P2
46.4%
42.9%
P3
44.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
46.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Noah Cates |