Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Cates 43.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 95.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 75.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 80.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Granlund
Cates
Last 10: Granlund 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
0
Granlund
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
4
5
Granlund
Cates
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
4
1
Granlund
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
44.1% (2,786)
+4.5%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
42.9% (254)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
34.9% (373)
+8.7%
On power play, Granlund has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
51.0% (3,905)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
48.8%
44.5%
P2
48.7%
43.7%
P3
48.5%
41.2%
OT
43.3%
29.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |