Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 73.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 85.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 80.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Granlund
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
45.5% (756)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
42.1% (114)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
44.7% (47)
-13.6%
On power play, Granlund has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
54.7% (276)
46.2% (468)
Away
45.8% (389)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
52.2%
46.0%
P2
49.3%
47.5%
P3
47.4%
42.1%
OT
45.5%
18.2%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |