Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Granlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
48.9% (352)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
81.3% (16)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
42.2% (45)
-2.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
45.9% (582)
46.9% (192)
Away
48.4% (624)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
48.6%
48.1%
P2
46.7%
50.0%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
47.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |