Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 64.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Granlund
Carrick
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
3
Granlund
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Granlund
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,748)
52.2% (2,544)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.9% (756)
61.3% (75)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
50.8% (435)
-7.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,965).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
50.8% (3,884)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
48.8%
51.8%
P2
48.7%
52.3%
P3
48.3%
52.6%
OT
43.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |