Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 66.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Carrick
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
55.5% (470)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
66.7% (3)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
50.0% (58)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
54.7% (276)
58.6% (261)
Away
45.8% (389)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
52.2%
55.9%
P2
49.3%
53.5%
P3
47.4%
55.6%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |