Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Granlund wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 67.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Granlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Granlund
Kuraly
Last 10: Granlund 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
1
Granlund
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
4
1
Granlund
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
52.3% (982)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
41.9% (43)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
39.2% (245)
+1.0%
On power play, Granlund has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Granlund shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Granlund
Kuraly
Home
45.9% (582)
50.3% (680)
Away
48.4% (624)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Granlund
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
49.6%
P3
46.9%
49.0%
OT
31.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
47.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |