Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Granlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Granlund
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Granlund
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
49.2% (901)
-2.4%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
68.2% (22)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
49.8% (219)
-13.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Granlund shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Granlund
Kuraly
Home
47.8% (178)
51.7% (603)
Away
41.7% (206)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Granlund
Kuraly
P1
44.7%
50.9%
P2
42.9%
49.5%
P3
45.7%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |