Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Granlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Granlund
Kuraly
Last 10: Granlund 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
7
2
Granlund
Kuraly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
5
Granlund
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
7
2
Granlund
Kuraly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
56.4% (101)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
44.4% (1,091)
-0.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Granlund shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Granlund
Kuraly
Home
51.0% (3,905)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Granlund
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
50.2%
OT
43.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |