Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Paul 50.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 76.7%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 51.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Rantanen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rantanen
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Rantanen
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
53.0% (644)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
37.5% (24)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.9% (177)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Rantanen shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Paul
Home
51.8% (197)
52.5% (516)
Away
39.5% (157)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Rantanen
Paul
P1
47.2%
47.6%
P2
44.8%
48.4%
P3
46.9%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |