Mitchell Stephens vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Stephens wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 49.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.0%
Defensive zone
Stephens 75.8%
Neutral zone
Stephens 54.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Stephens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephens
Stamkos
Last 5: Stephens 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Stephens
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Stephens
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (199)
49.3% (789)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
54.1% (98)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephens is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Stephens shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Stephens
Stamkos
Home
53.3% (122)
52.0% (512)
Away
45.0% (131)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Stephens
Stamkos
P1
52.6%
42.1%
P2
48.0%
56.4%
P3
46.7%
53.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |