Mitchell Stephens vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephens wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.5%
Defensive zone
Stephens 78.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.2%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Stephens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stephens
Stamkos
Last 7: Stephens 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Stephens
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
0
Stephens
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Stephens
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
50.5% (9,825)
+4.0%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
55.2% (1,729)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
49.6% (827)
-2.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephens is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Stephens shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Stephens
Stamkos
Home
54.1% (471)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
51.3% (517)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Stephens
Stamkos
P1
53.6%
49.2%
P2
50.7%
52.7%
P3
54.3%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |