Mitchell Stephens vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.0%). Stephens wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 53.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 67.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stephens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stephens
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Stephens
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (122)
55.9% (499)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.3% (126)
-56.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephens is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Stephens shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Stephens
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (68)
55.3% (349)
Away
58.2% (67)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Stephens
Stamkos
P1
56.7%
57.0%
P2
46.3%
59.2%
P3
64.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |